Friday, September 10, 2010

september oscar talk

Well it's that time of year, folks. As the September doldrums ensue with their crappy throwaway horror romps and movies that the studios have no faith in, it's about time to focus on that glimmer of hope known as October, November, and December (before, of course, the inevitable equally crappy January swarms in). As the year comes to its big finish, my mind is ticking away at what the big nominees will be at the upcoming Academy Awards. Here are my current predictions (in order of my confidence in them) - make your revisions down there in the comments!

Best Picture
Inception, The King's Speech, The Way Back, Toy Story 3, 127 Hours,
Another Year, The Town, True Grit, Black Swan,The Kids Are All Right

Best Director
Peter Weir (The Way Back), Danny Boyle (127 Hours),
Christopher Nolan (Inception), Mike Leigh (Another Year),
Ben Affleck (The Town)

Best Lead Actress
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right), Naomi Watts (Fair Game),
Natalie Portman (Black Swan), Diane Lane (Secretariat),
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole)

Best Lead Actor
Colin Firth (The King's Speech), Robert Duvall (Get Low),
Sean Penn (Fair Game), Jim Broadbent (Another Year),
Jeff Bridges (True Grit)

Best Supporting Actress
Helena Bonham Carter (The King's Speech)
Kristin Scott Thomas (Nowhere Boy), Lesley Manville (Another Year)
Rebecca Hall (The Town), Marion Cotillard (Inception)

Best Supporting Actor
Ed Harris (The Way Back), Jeremy Renner (The Town),
Geoffrey Rush (The King's Speech), Bill Murray (Get Low),
Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right)


Andrew K. said...

I'm practically salivating waiting for The King's Speech!

Jude said...

You have that much faith in Naomi Watts? She's tricky when it comes to awardage. I don't think "Fair Game" will make a huge splash with the Academy despite the pedigree. On the other hand, granted "Rabbit Hole" gets a lot of critical support (that "Birth," "Dogville," "Margot at the Wedding," all lacked), that should lock Nicole Kidman in for a nomination. She's obviously terrific in it... when is she ever less than outstanding and revelatory? And, because of the lackluster summer, Jennifer Lawrence seems to be hanging on in that Melissa Leo spot. With the proper campaigning keeping the film in everybody's mind, she could definitely land a nomination. No love for "Never Let Me Go" in these predictions, though. I think Keira Knightley could probably break through. If the film is like "One Hour Photo," (critics loved it, a bit polarizing to mainstream audiences) as a high-profile supporting actress she should be able to get a nom. (Carey Mulligan/Andrew Garfield, I presume, are the leads, and would therefore be taken down with the film if it got the tepid mainstream audience reaction it could very well get given its director/subject.) And "The King's Speech" defines Oscar bait, and I don't see it turning into "Invictus," so you're very smart to put your faith behind it.

Simon said...

If Secratariat gets any nominations, my sould will die.

Jason H. said...

You've got a lot of faith in The Town, I notice. Have you seen it? And if so, is it good? I'm a huge fan of Gone Baby Gone, and I've been looking forward to Affleck's follow-up ever since. I'm really hoping this one is just as good as the former.

Simon- I feel like Secretariat is being set up to be this year's The Blind Side. I completely agree with you.

Castor said...

I have to side with Jude that Watts most likely won't get any accolades with Fair Game which looks to me as insignificant as The International.

Unknown said...

Aww no Carey or Keira?
I think that's the movie I'm dying to see the most this year.

pomme said...

you have too many faith in "the town"

Luke said...

Andrew: Yes, I'm definitely excited to see a non-Burton HBC. Having just seen Wings of the Dove, I crave some more of that!

Jude: Yes, I don't know that I'm all that excited about Fair Game, but it seems like a Michael Clayton sort of flick... and you know how that one did.

Simon: Yeah, I'll probably agree with you on that, but doesn't it just seem crazy enough to be possible??

Jason: I've heard really positive reviews coming out of the festival circuit. I thought the trailer wasn't very promising, but people are hailing Affleck's direction big time... seems like a ringing endorsement.

Jose: It honestly just missed on most counts for me. I'm very excited too, but I feel as though Oscar will find it too out of the box.

CMrok93 said...

Good Predictions, and it looks like the Best Actor category this year is pretty weak this year, but at the same time unpredictable. Also, for best supporting actor, I would think about Christian Bale in The Fighter, apparently it's a demanding performance from him.

Canada Pharmacy said...

I think best film is inception. I love this movie when i see first time, And wonderful story about level of dream and change ideas. Love the concept.